The Final Straight

A short note on how and why my election forecasts differ from current polls Some polls suggest GE2017 will be close. Others, not so much. My forecast continues to suggest that the Conservatives will finish with a healthy lead in vote share, and a large majority. I thought it helpful…

Emmanuel Macron takes step closer to French presidency with strong performance in fiery debate

[caption width="926" align="aligncenter"] On your marks. Eric Feferberg/EPA[/caption] Emmanuel Macron takes step closer to French presidency with strong performance in fiery debate, argues Delia Dumitrescu. Emmanuel Macron was a virtually unknown figure in French politics before 2012. Now, as leader of the new political movement En Marche! he finds himself…