The Final Straight

A short note on how and why my election forecasts differ from current polls Some polls suggest GE2017 will be close. Others, not so much. My forecast continues to suggest that the Conservatives will finish with a healthy lead in vote share, and a large majority. I thought it helpful…

The UK and the EU: ask the experts

UEA hosted an event where the public could ask the expert in Norwich in February 2016. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDZZ_J-hJ0M The panel in Norwich included: Angus Armstrong, director of macroeconomics, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, and senior fellow The UK in a Changing Europe Catherine Barnard, Professor of European Union Law,…